Posts Tagged ‘Currency Trading’

PostHeaderIcon A Shockingly Simple Stock Trading Momentum Indicator

Following a trend is great. But if the trend is moving quickly, you want to know that so that you can get ahead of it. If the rate of change of the trend is going up, rising prices are going to follow quickly.

Momentum was the velocity multiplied by the mass of the object. Now first what is a momentum? You must have read about the momentum in high school physics.Velocity was the rate of change. Now. a simple way to calculate the momentum of any security price is to divide the closing price today by the closing price ten days back and then multiply it by 100! So when we talk of momentum in trading, we are talking of the rate of change of any security prices.

This gives you the momentum indicator. If the prices didn’t go anywhere momentum indicator will be 100. If the prices went up, the momentum indicator will be greater than 100 and the prices went down, the momentum indicator will be less than 100. Now, a trend is expected to continue if the momentum indicator is greater than 100.

PostHeaderIcon Start With a Practice Account (Part I)

The best way for new traders to get a handle on what currency trading is all about is to open a practice account. Almost every forex broker offers a free practice account to new clients. All you need to do is to sign up with any good forex broker.

Practice accounts are funded with virtual money. So you are able to make trades with no real money at stake and gain experience in how margin trading works. Practice accounts give you the great chance to experience the forex market. You can see how the price changes at different times of the day.

Without any fear of losing money, you can trade your practice account with real market conditions. Practice trading will teach you how various currency pairs may differ from each other? It will also teach you how the forex market reacts to new information when major news and economic data is released.

PostHeaderIcon Rollovers & Currency Trading

Rollovers are transactions in currency trading where an open position from one value date or settlement date is rolled over to the next value date or settlement date. Rollovers are unique to the currency markets. Rollovers represent the intersection of interest rate markets and forex markets.

Remember that what you are trading is in fact the good old cash. Dont forget currency is money after all. Rollover rates depend on the difference between the interest rates of the two currencies in the pair that you are trading.

You should expect an interest gain/expense on holding a currency position over time. It is similar to earning interest on a bank deposit and paying interest on a loan. It is like having a deposit in a bank account when you are long on a currency. Its like take a loan from the bank if you are short.

Interest rate differential is the difference between the interest rates between the two currencies. You should think of the open currency position as one currency with the positive balance (the currency you are long) and one with negative balance (the currency you are short).

PostHeaderIcon What is Market Sentiment (Part III)?

Economic growth of countries can also have a big impact on the overall currency market sentiment besides the interest rates. United States is the largest economy in the world. US economy is the key factor in determining the global currency market sentiment. US economic growth figures affect the major currency pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, CHF/USD and JPY/USD.

A strong economic expansion coupled with a healthy labor market tends to boost consumer spending in the country. Good economic growth helps in selling the stuff produced by the local companies and businesses.

A country with a strong economy is in a better position to attract foreign investors. Investments pouring into the country increase the demand for that currency. This increased demand causes that currency to strengthen against other currencies.

How do you measure the economy of a country? Some of the most important indicators of a country economic growth are: 1) Gross Domestic Product (GDP). 2) The unemployment rate and 3) The trade balance. Lets discuss these three economic indicators.

PostHeaderIcon Mechanical Trading Systems

Currency traders use different approaches in their trading. Majority of successful traders use self developed mechanical trading systems. There are always advantages and disadvantages of different trading systems. The majority of unsuccessful traders depend on discrete trading method.

Many traders use their own developed trading systems. There are many actively developed trading systems for sale as computer programs also known as Expert Advisors or Robots. Theses robots vary widely in prices. It can be from a few hundred dollars to a few hundred thousand dollars.

The significant advantage of these computer programs is that they generate signals. These signals can be used by the trader for trading. Sometimes these computer programs are developed for a certain bank or a corporation.

The discrete trading method is used by many traders. It is like an artist trying to adapt to different market conditions using flexibility and tactics corresponding to the particular market condition.

The traders mood and health can greatly affect the outcome of each trade in case of a discrete trading method. The main disadvantage of the discrete trading approach is the unstable trade results due to the stress factor influencing the trader.

PostHeaderIcon MACD Divergence Explained

Understanding and interpreting a MACD divergence can be very helpful in your trading. You may ask what does a MACD Divergence means. Just that the current price trend is running out of steam and soon may reverse direction. Price reversal may not happen right away. But a MACD Divergence is a powerful hint that the market is changing direction. It is easy to spot MACD crossovers and dramatic rises but not so a MACD divergence. Spotting a MACD divergence correctly will only come after practice.

What you are looking for is when the price action and MACD do not agree. For example, if the price is making a series of higher highs and MACD is making a series of lower lows, something is wrong between the two.

MACD is seen as a sign that fewer and fewer traders are in the trend. No one is trading against the trend. Yet fewer and fewer traders are in the trend. Most probably the traders are getting nervous and slowly fading out of their trades.

PostHeaderIcon Making Pips With Forex News

Forex markets are unlike stock markets. Currency markets are open 24/5 except on the weekends. Continuous price action takes place all day in the currency markets. Do you know this that more than 90% of people trading forex are speculators?

Forex markets have the tendency to react violently to the release of economic and socio political news. You cant predict when important sociopolitical event will be breaking news.

But economic news release like NFP figures every month, the housing sales number, FOMC meeting etc all are known before time. Just Google Fundamental News and you will see lots of websites that provide this service.

You can get the day and time when a major economic announcement is going to be made. Non Form Payroll (NFP) figures have become very significant for USD pairs especially after the start of the recession recently.

Non Farm Payroll (NFP) figures are released regularly at 8:30 AM EST on the first Friday of every month. EUR/USD and other USD pairs become very jittery just before the release of these figures. EUR/USD can sometimes shoot up by 50-150 pips in 5-10 minutes just after the release of these figures.

PostHeaderIcon Forex Trading has Tax Advantages

Forex trading lets you profit from the financial markets no matter what happens to stock markets. Stock markets can go up and down but you can always profit from forex markets.

Inflation or deflation, you can profit from forex trading. Interest rates can go up or it can go down, forex trading gives you the opportunity to profit in both instances unlike stock trading.

For any investment in financial markets, you have to pay a capital gain tax. It can be a short term capital gain tax in case you take profit from a security within one year, taxed at your current tax rate.

And in case, you hold the security for more than one year before you take profit, you will have to pay long term capital gain tax, taxed at a rate of 15% only.

However, in case of forex markets, it doesnt matter if you take profit one minute after you enter a trade, one month or one year. 60% of your profits will be taxed as long term capital gains and only 40% will be taxed as short term capital gains.

PostHeaderIcon Factors That Affect the Forex Markets in the Short Term

Fundamental traders depend on fundamental analysis in trading forex. Technical traders depend on technical analysis in trading forex. But the importance of economic data cannot be underestimated in shaping trading strategies.

USD is the most important currency in the world. 90% of currency transactions are done in USD. In almost most of the currency trades, USD is either the base currency or the counter currency.

Since majority of the currency trades involve USD, you as a forex trader will also most probably trade USD most of the time. Release of certain economic data has significant and lasting impact on currencies like USD.

With time, you will learn that forex markets reaction to the release of different economic data also changes with time. US GDP figures used to be important for USD but they dont impact much.

EUR/USD is the most liquid pair in the forex market and is heavily traded. The release of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on the first Friday of each month has become important in recent years. These figures makes EUR/USD and other pairs involving US Dollar highly volatile for some time until the markets digest the importance of these figures.

PostHeaderIcon How Can I Choose The Best Currency Pair For Trading?

While deciding which currency pair to trade, many traders make the mistake of forming their opinion around only one currency in the pair, ignoring the other currency. Right choice of the currency pair is essential for making profitable trades.

Most of the trades involve US Dollar as either the base currency or the counter currency. Many traders make the mistake of only studying the economic factors that have the potential of affecting dollar.

This neglect of the other currency economic conditions can greatly hinder the profitability of the trade. It also makes the odds of a loss high.

When you trade against a strong economy, the chances of failure are more. The weak currency in the pair could flop badly while the strong currency in the pair may appreciate more than what you calculated.

You must study the economies of both the currencies before you decide to trade a particular currency pair. The best trading strategy is to find the strong economy/weak economy pairing. This has the potential of giving maximum returns.

For example, when FED announced its intention of containing inflation in March 22, 2005 FOMC meeting; most of the other currencies tanked against the dollar. A string of other positive economic data also reinforced the dollar.